Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 1.157735e-03 0.001305 0.001454 0.001615 0.001784 0.001955 0.002141
2025-04-06 9.032167e-04 0.001129 0.001366 0.001633 0.001921 0.002221 0.002555
2025-04-13 6.950471e-04 0.000979 0.001291 0.001655 0.002059 0.002489 0.002979
2025-04-20 4.927892e-04 0.000809 0.001178 0.001624 0.002134 0.002690 0.003332
2025-04-27 3.318919e-04 0.000663 0.001075 0.001593 0.002203 0.002881 0.003676
2025-05-04 2.441396e-04 0.000593 0.001054 0.001653 0.002373 0.003184 0.004146
2025-05-11 1.568846e-04 0.000503 0.000997 0.001662 0.002479 0.003414 0.004534
2025-05-18 6.695170e-05 0.000373 0.000869 0.001572 0.002461 0.003496 0.004751
2025-05-25 2.083434e-05 0.000287 0.000788 0.001533 0.002498 0.003637 0.005032
2025-06-01 6.917251e-07 0.000214 0.000712 0.001493 0.002528 0.003767 0.005298
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000165 0.000665 0.001485 0.002596 0.003940 0.005612
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000146 0.000665 0.001543 0.002747 0.004211 0.006040
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000111 0.000634 0.001564 0.002860 0.004453 0.006453
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000080 0.000603 0.001582 0.002974 0.004698 0.006876
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000054 0.000575 0.001605 0.003093 0.004952 0.007313
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000026 0.000517 0.001575 0.003140 0.005118 0.007644
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000008 0.000463 0.001545 0.003185 0.005279 0.007971
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000003 0.000462 0.001604 0.003353 0.005596 0.008485
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000434 0.001614 0.003449 0.005821 0.008889
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000357 0.001525 0.003405 0.005865 0.009071
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000311 0.001486 0.003427 0.005992 0.009352
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000267 0.001447 0.003445 0.006112 0.009624
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000242 0.001440 0.003509 0.006291 0.009966